SBC Bowl Percentages

[Saint3333]

From the SBC board:

Here's each teams chances of making 6+ wins for the rest of the season using SP+:

JMU: 99.99%
Louisiana: 99.9%
Texas State: 99%
Coastal Carolina: 97%
Marshall: 91%
ULM: 61%
Georgia Southern: 61%
South Alabama: 60%
Arkansas State: 43%
Appalachian State: 17%
Georgia State: 16%
Old Dominion: 8%
Troy: 7%
Southern Miss: 1%

Winning four of the bolded games above seems like a tall order with our hand.

[ASUTodd]

I see no reason to believe we will win any more games.

[biggie]

ODU is our only chance to me and it is still slim.

[Stonewall]

The ULM turn around is remarkable. They block and tackle.

[Rick83]

Guys, we've had seasons turn around before. Let's give these Mountaineers a chance.

[AppStFan1]

The ULM turn around is remarkable. They block and tackle.

It just shows that it can happen. Someone made the comment about "lies from Jack Branch Drive are real". I am convinced that we have folks on Jack Branch who say that to many people hoping they get sympathy and a longer leash. The reality is that we will likely never draw 10M a year in NIL so they hope it continues to buy them time. ULM is blowing that excuse away. I want it to work out for Shawn even though I don't think it will. I do hope we turn it around. If the second half of the season is close to the first half then I want a change to happen.

[BambooRdApp]

We got them right where we want them. Let's Go App. St.!!

[Bootsy]

I can't focus on bowls, just wanna see App win at ULL on the 10/12.
Baby steps...

[MrCraig]

The ULM turn around is remarkable. They block and tackle.

It just shows that it can happen. Someone made the comment about "lies from Jack Branch Drive are real". I am convinced that we have folks on Jack Branch who say that to many people hoping they get sympathy and a longer leash. the reality is that we will likely never draw 10M a year in NIL so they hope it continues to buy them time. ULM is blowing that excuse away. I want it to work out for Shawn even though I don't think it will. I do hope we turn it around. If the second half of the season is close to the first half then I want a change to happen.

Something I've been thinking- even if we turn it around, win out, win a bowl, etc. Is that how we want our seasons to go? The last two years the team has started slow and turned it around late. App won't ever have another 9-10 win season if they start every season with 3-4 losses.

[BambooRdApp]

The ULM turn around is remarkable. They block and tackle.

It just shows that it can happen. Someone made the comment about "lies from Jack Branch Drive are real". I am convinced that we have folks on Jack Branch who say that to many people hoping they get sympathy and a longer leash. the reality is that we will likely never draw 10M a year in NIL so they hope it continues to buy them time. ULM is blowing that excuse away. I want it to work out for Shawn even though I don't think it will. I do hope we turn it around. If the second half of the season is close to the first half then I want a change to happen.

Something I've been thinking- even if we turn it around, win out, win a bowl, etc. Is that how we want our seasons to go? The last two years the team has started slow and turned it around late. App won't ever have another 9-10 win season if they start every season with 3-4 losses.

Who would ever wants slow starts to a season?. No one....However, I will never hope that App. St. game ends in a loss for a longer term different outcome in the future. (i.e. different coaches, etc. the young men put in the work, I want them to experience the thrill of victory.
Maybe I do not follow what you are trying to convey

[hapapp]

Guys, we've had seasons turn around before. Let's give these Mountaineers a chance.

Nothing is impossible and no reason to give up on the team. However, the turn around last year happened after App found ways to lose games late and by a single score. Thus far this year that has not been the case, we have trailed by double digits in our losses with no real chance for victory. The turn around would be much starker than anything from last year.

[Rick83]

Guys, we've had seasons turn around before. Let's give these Mountaineers a chance.

Nothing is impossible and no reason to give up on the team. However, the turn around last year happened after App found ways to lose games late and by a single score. Thus far this year that has not been the case, we have trailed by double digits in our losses with no real chance for victory. The turn around would be much starker than anything from last year.

I was at most of those games you're referencing from last year so I'm well aware of how they went down. I stand by my original statement. The team gets a complete pass for the Marshall game in my book, it's impressive that they were even able to play.

[MrCraig]

The ULM turn around is remarkable. They block and tackle.

It just shows that it can happen. Someone made the comment about "lies from Jack Branch Drive are real". I am convinced that we have folks on Jack Branch who say that to many people hoping they get sympathy and a longer leash. the reality is that we will likely never draw 10M a year in NIL so they hope it continues to buy them time. ULM is blowing that excuse away. I want it to work out for Shawn even though I don't think it will. I do hope we turn it around. If the second half of the season is close to the first half then I want a change to happen.

Something I've been thinking- even if we turn it around, win out, win a bowl, etc. Is that how we want our seasons to go? The last two years the team has started slow and turned it around late. App won't ever have another 9-10 win season if they start every season with 3-4 losses.

Who would ever wants slow starts to a season?. No one....However, I will never hope that App. St. game ends in a loss for a longer term different outcome in the future. (i.e. different coaches, etc. the young men put in the work, I want them to experience the thrill of victory.
Maybe I do not follow what you are trying to convey

I’m saying, hypothetically, if Shawn Clark gets say 4 more years of employment, and every season starts 2-4 but finished 6-0, would we be ok with that? Or would there eventually come a time where the fans and admin say the slow starts are too much?

[DenverOfTheEast]

teamrankings.com will give you all the percentages you want to find.

NCAA Football
NCAA Basketball

[AppStFan1]

The ULM turn around is remarkable. They block and tackle.

It just shows that it can happen. Someone made the comment about "lies from Jack Branch Drive are real". I am convinced that we have folks on Jack Branch who say that to many people hoping they get sympathy and a longer leash. the reality is that we will likely never draw 10M a year in NIL so they hope it continues to buy them time. ULM is blowing that excuse away. I want it to work out for Shawn even though I don't think it will. I do hope we turn it around. If the second half of the season is close to the first half then I want a change to happen.

Something I've been thinking- even if we turn it around, win out, win a bowl, etc. Is that how we want our seasons to go? The last two years the team has started slow and turned it around late. App won't ever have another 9-10 win season if they start every season with 3-4 losses.

Agreed. Think about this. The expectation this year was 9-10 wins and to play in the SBC title game. How are we going to do if our talent is only viewed as good enough to go 7-5? Do we just win 1-2 games? Right now we are underachieving and never living up to expectation.

[NattyBumppo'sRevenge]

The best strategy is to onsides kick every time. It doesn’t matter where on the field the opponent gets the ball, they’re going to score a TD. This is our best chance to prevent a few scores. It also gives our defense less time on the field, so maybe they make a play or two. We do this, we have a chance to win 4 more.

[BambooRdApp]

The ULM turn around is remarkable. They block and tackle.

It just shows that it can happen. Someone made the comment about "lies from Jack Branch Drive are real". I am convinced that we have folks on Jack Branch who say that to many people hoping they get sympathy and a longer leash. the reality is that we will likely never draw 10M a year in NIL so they hope it continues to buy them time. ULM is blowing that excuse away. I want it to work out for Shawn even though I don't think it will. I do hope we turn it around. If the second half of the season is close to the first half then I want a change to happen.

Something I've been thinking- even if we turn it around, win out, win a bowl, etc. Is that how we want our seasons to go? The last two years the team has started slow and turned it around late. App won't ever have another 9-10 win season if they start every season with 3-4 losses.

Agreed. Think about this. The expectation this year was 9-10 wins and to play in the SBC title game. How are we going to do if our talent is only viewed as good enough to go 7-5? Do we just win 1-2 games? Right now we are underachieving and never living up to expectation.

Good grief. Negative Nellies ..let's hypothetically talk about 10 years from...geez. has DG extended Clark beyond 2025? No

[AppStFan1]

The ULM turn around is remarkable. They block and tackle.

It just shows that it can happen. Someone made the comment about "lies from Jack Branch Drive are real". I am convinced that we have folks on Jack Branch who say that to many people hoping they get sympathy and a longer leash. the reality is that we will likely never draw 10M a year in NIL so they hope it continues to buy them time. ULM is blowing that excuse away. I want it to work out for Shawn even though I don't think it will. I do hope we turn it around. If the second half of the season is close to the first half then I want a change to happen.

Something I've been thinking- even if we turn it around, win out, win a bowl, etc. Is that how we want our seasons to go? The last two years the team has started slow and turned it around late. App won't ever have another 9-10 win season if they start every season with 3-4 losses.

Agreed. Think about this. The expectation this year was 9-10 wins and to play in the SBC title game. How are we going to do if our talent is only viewed as good enough to go 7-5? Do we just win 1-2 games? Right now we are underachieving and never living up to expectation.

Good grief. Negative Nellies ..let's hypothetically talk about 10 years from...geez. has DG extended Clark beyond 2025? No

I never said anything about 10 years from now. My comments were about right now and how we have been doing.

Clark’s current deal actually goes through 2026.