ESPN Bowl Projections
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Re: ESPN Bowl Projections
I think we end up with Liberty or Memphis in the Cure bowl. My projection. I am no "Brett McMurphy" we will see.
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Re: ESPN Bowl Projections
Hope she settled down and enjoyed her afternoon once we covered.AppSt94 wrote: ↑Wed Nov 17, 2021 1:33 pmThere was a lady sitting behind me Saturday that was pi$$ed that we weren’t beating South Alabama as bad as Vegas thought we would.biggie wrote: ↑Wed Nov 17, 2021 1:29 pmMakes no sense that losing to ULM translates to favorites vs ULL.Black Saturday wrote: ↑Wed Nov 17, 2021 10:47 amI saw one projection had us playing Liberty, who is favored by 4.5 over ULL this Saturday.
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Re: ESPN Bowl Projections
Actually, I think I pi$$ed her off and they left before that play. I like her husband. Sadly, I was not pleased with the cover.proasu89 wrote: ↑Wed Nov 17, 2021 3:28 pmHope she settled down and enjoyed her afternoon once we covered.AppSt94 wrote: ↑Wed Nov 17, 2021 1:33 pmThere was a lady sitting behind me Saturday that was pi$$ed that we weren’t beating South Alabama as bad as Vegas thought we would.biggie wrote: ↑Wed Nov 17, 2021 1:29 pmMakes no sense that losing to ULM translates to favorites vs ULL.Black Saturday wrote: ↑Wed Nov 17, 2021 10:47 amI saw one projection had us playing Liberty, who is favored by 4.5 over ULL this Saturday.
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Re: ESPN Bowl Projections
How could you not be happy that we covered? For our folks who care about ratings it is important we win by impressive margins as it helps with perception. I know you did not doubt our team so much that you thought the game would be closer than 20 and you bet against App State? LOL. I just can't gamble on our games because I know so much about how we play that I could truly see us cover by 1-2 scores every week or fall way short of covering. lolAppSt94 wrote: ↑Wed Nov 17, 2021 3:34 pmActually, I think I pi$$ed her off and they left before that play. I like her husband. Sadly, I was not pleased with the cover.proasu89 wrote: ↑Wed Nov 17, 2021 3:28 pmHope she settled down and enjoyed her afternoon once we covered.AppSt94 wrote: ↑Wed Nov 17, 2021 1:33 pmThere was a lady sitting behind me Saturday that was pi$$ed that we weren’t beating South Alabama as bad as Vegas thought we would.biggie wrote: ↑Wed Nov 17, 2021 1:29 pmMakes no sense that losing to ULM translates to favorites vs ULL.Black Saturday wrote: ↑Wed Nov 17, 2021 10:47 amI saw one projection had us playing Liberty, who is favored by 4.5 over ULL this Saturday.
Last edited by AppStFan1 on Wed Nov 17, 2021 11:30 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ESPN Bowl Projections
Because I had money on USA and the points. Did I think that we had a chance to lose? Not really. But to be honest, three + scores is a lot for a ball control offense and the weather. Covering point spreads and “style points” arguments are manufactured triggers for anxiety. No one that votes on this stuff looks at point spreads when ranking because quite frankly, they are numbers generated to create equal money on both sides to ensure profit.AppStFan1 wrote: ↑Wed Nov 17, 2021 3:36 pmHow could you not be happy that we covered? For our folks who care about ratings it is important we do cover. Margin of victory helps with perception. I know you did not doubt our team so much that you thought the game would be closer than 20 and you bet against App State? LOL. I just can't gamble on our games because I know so much about how we play that I could truly see us cover by 1-2 scores every week or fall way short of covering. lol
- goapps93
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Re: ESPN Bowl Projections
And before anyone piles on, his bet was against the spread, not the Mountaineers. I hope this doesn't start another conversation about how useless spreads are. They're necessary for the gamblers amongst us (I'm not one, typically). And it is pretty amazing how accurate the odds makers can be a lot of the time.AppSt94 wrote: ↑Wed Nov 17, 2021 3:44 pmBecause I had money on USA and the points. Did I think that we had a chance to lose? Not really. But to be honest, three + scores is a lot for a ball control offense and the weather. Covering point spreads and “style points” arguments are manufactured triggers for anxiety. No one that votes on this stuff looks at point spreads when ranking because quite frankly, they are numbers generated to create equal money on both sides to ensure profit.AppStFan1 wrote: ↑Wed Nov 17, 2021 3:36 pmHow could you not be happy that we covered? For our folks who care about ratings it is important we do cover. Margin of victory helps with perception. I know you did not doubt our team so much that you thought the game would be closer than 20 and you bet against App State? LOL. I just can't gamble on our games because I know so much about how we play that I could truly see us cover by 1-2 scores every week or fall way short of covering. lol
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Re: ESPN Bowl Projections
That danged Dale Jones gang, did it again.AppSt94 wrote: ↑Wed Nov 17, 2021 3:44 pmBecause I had money on USA and the points. Did I think that we had a chance to lose? Not really. But to be honest, three + scores is a lot for a ball control offense and the weather. Covering point spreads and “style points” arguments are manufactured triggers for anxiety. No one that votes on this stuff looks at point spreads when ranking because quite frankly, they are numbers generated to create equal money on both sides to ensure profit.AppStFan1 wrote: ↑Wed Nov 17, 2021 3:36 pmHow could you not be happy that we covered? For our folks who care about ratings it is important we do cover. Margin of victory helps with perception. I know you did not doubt our team so much that you thought the game would be closer than 20 and you bet against App State? LOL. I just can't gamble on our games because I know so much about how we play that I could truly see us cover by 1-2 scores every week or fall way short of covering. lol
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Re: ESPN Bowl Projections
Thanks. For the record, I don’t bet for App to lose.goapps93 wrote: ↑Wed Nov 17, 2021 3:58 pmAnd before anyone piles on, his bet was against the spread, not the Mountaineers. I hope this doesn't start another conversation about how useless spreads are. They're necessary for the gamblers amongst us (I'm not one, typically). And it is pretty amazing how accurate the odds makers can be a lot of the time.AppSt94 wrote: ↑Wed Nov 17, 2021 3:44 pmBecause I had money on USA and the points. Did I think that we had a chance to lose? Not really. But to be honest, three + scores is a lot for a ball control offense and the weather. Covering point spreads and “style points” arguments are manufactured triggers for anxiety. No one that votes on this stuff looks at point spreads when ranking because quite frankly, they are numbers generated to create equal money on both sides to ensure profit.AppStFan1 wrote: ↑Wed Nov 17, 2021 3:36 pmHow could you not be happy that we covered? For our folks who care about ratings it is important we do cover. Margin of victory helps with perception. I know you did not doubt our team so much that you thought the game would be closer than 20 and you bet against App State? LOL. I just can't gamble on our games because I know so much about how we play that I could truly see us cover by 1-2 scores every week or fall way short of covering. lol
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Re: ESPN Bowl Projections
Thanks Pete Rose... Just kiddingAppSt94 wrote: ↑Wed Nov 17, 2021 3:59 pmThanks. For the record, I don’t bet for App to lose.goapps93 wrote: ↑Wed Nov 17, 2021 3:58 pmAnd before anyone piles on, his bet was against the spread, not the Mountaineers. I hope this doesn't start another conversation about how useless spreads are. They're necessary for the gamblers amongst us (I'm not one, typically). And it is pretty amazing how accurate the odds makers can be a lot of the time.AppSt94 wrote: ↑Wed Nov 17, 2021 3:44 pmBecause I had money on USA and the points. Did I think that we had a chance to lose? Not really. But to be honest, three + scores is a lot for a ball control offense and the weather. Covering point spreads and “style points” arguments are manufactured triggers for anxiety. No one that votes on this stuff looks at point spreads when ranking because quite frankly, they are numbers generated to create equal money on both sides to ensure profit.AppStFan1 wrote: ↑Wed Nov 17, 2021 3:36 pmHow could you not be happy that we covered? For our folks who care about ratings it is important we do cover. Margin of victory helps with perception. I know you did not doubt our team so much that you thought the game would be closer than 20 and you bet against App State? LOL. I just can't gamble on our games because I know so much about how we play that I could truly see us cover by 1-2 scores every week or fall way short of covering. lol
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Re: ESPN Bowl Projections
It's fun to watch and follow the spreads, but it's best not too bet at all.
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Re: ESPN Bowl Projections
Free Pete!Tbatchelor1977 wrote: ↑Wed Nov 17, 2021 4:23 pmThanks Pete Rose... Just kiddingAppSt94 wrote: ↑Wed Nov 17, 2021 3:59 pmThanks. For the record, I don’t bet for App to lose.goapps93 wrote: ↑Wed Nov 17, 2021 3:58 pmAnd before anyone piles on, his bet was against the spread, not the Mountaineers. I hope this doesn't start another conversation about how useless spreads are. They're necessary for the gamblers amongst us (I'm not one, typically). And it is pretty amazing how accurate the odds makers can be a lot of the time.AppSt94 wrote: ↑Wed Nov 17, 2021 3:44 pmBecause I had money on USA and the points. Did I think that we had a chance to lose? Not really. But to be honest, three + scores is a lot for a ball control offense and the weather. Covering point spreads and “style points” arguments are manufactured triggers for anxiety. No one that votes on this stuff looks at point spreads when ranking because quite frankly, they are numbers generated to create equal money on both sides to ensure profit.AppStFan1 wrote: ↑Wed Nov 17, 2021 3:36 pm
How could you not be happy that we covered? For our folks who care about ratings it is important we do cover. Margin of victory helps with perception. I know you did not doubt our team so much that you thought the game would be closer than 20 and you bet against App State? LOL. I just can't gamble on our games because I know so much about how we play that I could truly see us cover by 1-2 scores every week or fall way short of covering. lol
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Re: ESPN Bowl Projections
Probably a good idea not to drink alcohol at all either, especially before football games.Black Saturday wrote: ↑Wed Nov 17, 2021 4:28 pmIt's fun to watch and follow the spreads, but it's best not too bet at all.


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Re: ESPN Bowl Projections
Never bet on your own team. LOLAppSt94 wrote: ↑Wed Nov 17, 2021 3:44 pmBecause I had money on USA and the points. Did I think that we had a chance to lose? Not really. But to be honest, three + scores is a lot for a ball control offense and the weather. Covering point spreads and “style points” arguments are manufactured triggers for anxiety. No one that votes on this stuff looks at point spreads when ranking because quite frankly, they are numbers generated to create equal money on both sides to ensure profit.AppStFan1 wrote: ↑Wed Nov 17, 2021 3:36 pmHow could you not be happy that we covered? For our folks who care about ratings it is important we win by impressive margins as it helps with perception. I know you did not doubt our team so much that you thought the game would be closer than 20 and you bet against App State? LOL. I just can't gamble on our games because I know so much about how we play that I could truly see us cover by 1-2 scores every week or fall way short of covering. lol
You are right about what the numbers are generated for but I will say that voters look at margin of victory. If you win by way more than expected the voters will bump you up even more. They don't care about the specific line maybe but they want to see gaudy scores for G5 teams for sure.
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Re: ESPN Bowl Projections
I would never gamble on App games.Black Saturday wrote: ↑Wed Nov 17, 2021 4:28 pmIt's fun to watch and follow the spreads, but it's best not too bet at all.
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Re: ESPN Bowl Projections
Easy nowgoapps93 wrote: ↑Wed Nov 17, 2021 5:57 pmProbably a good idea not to drink alcohol at all either, especially before football games.Black Saturday wrote: ↑Wed Nov 17, 2021 4:28 pmIt's fun to watch and follow the spreads, but it's best not too bet at all.![]()
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Re: ESPN Bowl Projections
I typically do not gamble unless personal bet with someone or office bet, fantasy, etc. This is primarily due to the fact that I do not follow the other teams in detail. As such, I am the typical description of Vegas viewing me as easy money. With that said, I have no issue with someone betting on any App. St. sport. It is their money so to speak.
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Re: ESPN Bowl Projections
yep, he's taken it too farmike87 wrote: ↑Thu Nov 18, 2021 8:33 amEasy nowgoapps93 wrote: ↑Wed Nov 17, 2021 5:57 pmProbably a good idea not to drink alcohol at all either, especially before football games.Black Saturday wrote: ↑Wed Nov 17, 2021 4:28 pmIt's fun to watch and follow the spreads, but it's best not too bet at all.![]()
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- Rekdiver
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Re: ESPN Bowl Projections
No one should be having conversations at a football game~!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!AppSt94 wrote: ↑Wed Nov 17, 2021 2:03 pmCrazy blonde, yes. Different one though. This one is in the NEZ. And to be fair to her, she is a nice person and really gets into the game and is quite passionate. She yells at the refs like they care what she has to say. Her voice REALLY carries and she is a bit oblivious as to how disruptive she is to those around her trying to have conversations.appgrad2010 wrote: ↑Wed Nov 17, 2021 1:39 pmWas it a crazy blonde haired lady in her 50s? She is in 206 and a grade A clueless psycho!AppSt94 wrote: ↑Wed Nov 17, 2021 1:33 pmThere was a lady sitting behind me Saturday that was pi$$ed that we weren’t beating South Alabama as bad as Vegas thought we would.biggie wrote: ↑Wed Nov 17, 2021 1:29 pmMakes no sense that losing to ULM translates to favorites vs ULL.Black Saturday wrote: ↑Wed Nov 17, 2021 10:47 amI saw one projection had us playing Liberty, who is favored by 4.5 over ULL this Saturday.
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Re: ESPN Bowl Projections
To your point, I agree that you shouldn’t bet on teams that you don’t know about. Hence, the reason for investing short term on App, or SBC football. I mean, who is going to put money into something they know nothing about. For me, it’s a hobby thing. I figured out a long time ago that I got the biggest high from picking the right side, more than the money that I won. It’s a mental exercise for me to analyze the data and follow the statistical patterns more than anything. My gains and losses are very minimal. Im not going to get rich or die broke from it.Tbatchelor1977 wrote: ↑Thu Nov 18, 2021 8:59 amI typically do not gamble unless personal bet with someone or office bet, fantasy, etc. This is primarily due to the fact that I do not follow the other teams in detail. As such, I am the typical description of Vegas viewing me as easy money. With that said, I have no issue with someone betting on any App. St. sport. It is their money so to speak.
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Re: ESPN Bowl Projections
The guys around me are pretty cool and we will have discussions about play designs and what we saw.Rekdiver wrote: ↑Thu Nov 18, 2021 9:13 amNo one should be having conversations at a football game~!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!AppSt94 wrote: ↑Wed Nov 17, 2021 2:03 pmCrazy blonde, yes. Different one though. This one is in the NEZ. And to be fair to her, she is a nice person and really gets into the game and is quite passionate. She yells at the refs like they care what she has to say. Her voice REALLY carries and she is a bit oblivious as to how disruptive she is to those around her trying to have conversations.appgrad2010 wrote: ↑Wed Nov 17, 2021 1:39 pmWas it a crazy blonde haired lady in her 50s? She is in 206 and a grade A clueless psycho!