ESPN Bowl Projections

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Re: ESPN Bowl Projections

Unread post by spacemonkey » Wed Nov 17, 2021 3:27 pm

I think we end up with Liberty or Memphis in the Cure bowl. My projection. I am no "Brett McMurphy" we will see.

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Re: ESPN Bowl Projections

Unread post by proasu89 » Wed Nov 17, 2021 3:28 pm

AppSt94 wrote:
Wed Nov 17, 2021 1:33 pm
biggie wrote:
Wed Nov 17, 2021 1:29 pm
Black Saturday wrote:
Wed Nov 17, 2021 10:47 am
I saw one projection had us playing Liberty, who is favored by 4.5 over ULL this Saturday.
Makes no sense that losing to ULM translates to favorites vs ULL.
There was a lady sitting behind me Saturday that was pi$$ed that we weren’t beating South Alabama as bad as Vegas thought we would.
Hope she settled down and enjoyed her afternoon once we covered.

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Re: ESPN Bowl Projections

Unread post by AppSt94 » Wed Nov 17, 2021 3:34 pm

proasu89 wrote:
Wed Nov 17, 2021 3:28 pm
AppSt94 wrote:
Wed Nov 17, 2021 1:33 pm
biggie wrote:
Wed Nov 17, 2021 1:29 pm
Black Saturday wrote:
Wed Nov 17, 2021 10:47 am
I saw one projection had us playing Liberty, who is favored by 4.5 over ULL this Saturday.
Makes no sense that losing to ULM translates to favorites vs ULL.
There was a lady sitting behind me Saturday that was pi$$ed that we weren’t beating South Alabama as bad as Vegas thought we would.
Hope she settled down and enjoyed her afternoon once we covered.
Actually, I think I pi$$ed her off and they left before that play. I like her husband. Sadly, I was not pleased with the cover.

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Re: ESPN Bowl Projections

Unread post by AppStFan1 » Wed Nov 17, 2021 3:36 pm

AppSt94 wrote:
Wed Nov 17, 2021 3:34 pm
proasu89 wrote:
Wed Nov 17, 2021 3:28 pm
AppSt94 wrote:
Wed Nov 17, 2021 1:33 pm
biggie wrote:
Wed Nov 17, 2021 1:29 pm
Black Saturday wrote:
Wed Nov 17, 2021 10:47 am
I saw one projection had us playing Liberty, who is favored by 4.5 over ULL this Saturday.
Makes no sense that losing to ULM translates to favorites vs ULL.
There was a lady sitting behind me Saturday that was pi$$ed that we weren’t beating South Alabama as bad as Vegas thought we would.
Hope she settled down and enjoyed her afternoon once we covered.
Actually, I think I pi$$ed her off and they left before that play. I like her husband. Sadly, I was not pleased with the cover.
How could you not be happy that we covered? For our folks who care about ratings it is important we win by impressive margins as it helps with perception. I know you did not doubt our team so much that you thought the game would be closer than 20 and you bet against App State? LOL. I just can't gamble on our games because I know so much about how we play that I could truly see us cover by 1-2 scores every week or fall way short of covering. lol
Last edited by AppStFan1 on Wed Nov 17, 2021 11:30 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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Re: ESPN Bowl Projections

Unread post by AppSt94 » Wed Nov 17, 2021 3:44 pm

AppStFan1 wrote:
Wed Nov 17, 2021 3:36 pm
AppSt94 wrote:
Wed Nov 17, 2021 3:34 pm
proasu89 wrote:
Wed Nov 17, 2021 3:28 pm
AppSt94 wrote:
Wed Nov 17, 2021 1:33 pm
biggie wrote:
Wed Nov 17, 2021 1:29 pm

Makes no sense that losing to ULM translates to favorites vs ULL.
There was a lady sitting behind me Saturday that was pi$$ed that we weren’t beating South Alabama as bad as Vegas thought we would.
Hope she settled down and enjoyed her afternoon once we covered.
Actually, I think I pi$$ed her off and they left before that play. I like her husband. Sadly, I was not pleased with the cover.
How could you not be happy that we covered? For our folks who care about ratings it is important we do cover. Margin of victory helps with perception. I know you did not doubt our team so much that you thought the game would be closer than 20 and you bet against App State? LOL. I just can't gamble on our games because I know so much about how we play that I could truly see us cover by 1-2 scores every week or fall way short of covering. lol
Because I had money on USA and the points. Did I think that we had a chance to lose? Not really. But to be honest, three + scores is a lot for a ball control offense and the weather. Covering point spreads and “style points” arguments are manufactured triggers for anxiety. No one that votes on this stuff looks at point spreads when ranking because quite frankly, they are numbers generated to create equal money on both sides to ensure profit.

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Re: ESPN Bowl Projections

Unread post by goapps93 » Wed Nov 17, 2021 3:58 pm

AppSt94 wrote:
Wed Nov 17, 2021 3:44 pm
AppStFan1 wrote:
Wed Nov 17, 2021 3:36 pm
AppSt94 wrote:
Wed Nov 17, 2021 3:34 pm
proasu89 wrote:
Wed Nov 17, 2021 3:28 pm
AppSt94 wrote:
Wed Nov 17, 2021 1:33 pm


There was a lady sitting behind me Saturday that was pi$$ed that we weren’t beating South Alabama as bad as Vegas thought we would.
Hope she settled down and enjoyed her afternoon once we covered.
Actually, I think I pi$$ed her off and they left before that play. I like her husband. Sadly, I was not pleased with the cover.
How could you not be happy that we covered? For our folks who care about ratings it is important we do cover. Margin of victory helps with perception. I know you did not doubt our team so much that you thought the game would be closer than 20 and you bet against App State? LOL. I just can't gamble on our games because I know so much about how we play that I could truly see us cover by 1-2 scores every week or fall way short of covering. lol
Because I had money on USA and the points. Did I think that we had a chance to lose? Not really. But to be honest, three + scores is a lot for a ball control offense and the weather. Covering point spreads and “style points” arguments are manufactured triggers for anxiety. No one that votes on this stuff looks at point spreads when ranking because quite frankly, they are numbers generated to create equal money on both sides to ensure profit.
And before anyone piles on, his bet was against the spread, not the Mountaineers. I hope this doesn't start another conversation about how useless spreads are. They're necessary for the gamblers amongst us (I'm not one, typically). And it is pretty amazing how accurate the odds makers can be a lot of the time.
WE ARE YOSEF!

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Re: ESPN Bowl Projections

Unread post by Black Saturday » Wed Nov 17, 2021 3:58 pm

AppSt94 wrote:
Wed Nov 17, 2021 3:44 pm
AppStFan1 wrote:
Wed Nov 17, 2021 3:36 pm
AppSt94 wrote:
Wed Nov 17, 2021 3:34 pm
proasu89 wrote:
Wed Nov 17, 2021 3:28 pm
AppSt94 wrote:
Wed Nov 17, 2021 1:33 pm


There was a lady sitting behind me Saturday that was pi$$ed that we weren’t beating South Alabama as bad as Vegas thought we would.
Hope she settled down and enjoyed her afternoon once we covered.
Actually, I think I pi$$ed her off and they left before that play. I like her husband. Sadly, I was not pleased with the cover.
How could you not be happy that we covered? For our folks who care about ratings it is important we do cover. Margin of victory helps with perception. I know you did not doubt our team so much that you thought the game would be closer than 20 and you bet against App State? LOL. I just can't gamble on our games because I know so much about how we play that I could truly see us cover by 1-2 scores every week or fall way short of covering. lol
Because I had money on USA and the points. Did I think that we had a chance to lose? Not really. But to be honest, three + scores is a lot for a ball control offense and the weather. Covering point spreads and “style points” arguments are manufactured triggers for anxiety. No one that votes on this stuff looks at point spreads when ranking because quite frankly, they are numbers generated to create equal money on both sides to ensure profit.
That danged Dale Jones gang, did it again.
BLACK SATURDAY

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Re: ESPN Bowl Projections

Unread post by AppSt94 » Wed Nov 17, 2021 3:59 pm

goapps93 wrote:
Wed Nov 17, 2021 3:58 pm
AppSt94 wrote:
Wed Nov 17, 2021 3:44 pm
AppStFan1 wrote:
Wed Nov 17, 2021 3:36 pm
AppSt94 wrote:
Wed Nov 17, 2021 3:34 pm
proasu89 wrote:
Wed Nov 17, 2021 3:28 pm


Hope she settled down and enjoyed her afternoon once we covered.
Actually, I think I pi$$ed her off and they left before that play. I like her husband. Sadly, I was not pleased with the cover.
How could you not be happy that we covered? For our folks who care about ratings it is important we do cover. Margin of victory helps with perception. I know you did not doubt our team so much that you thought the game would be closer than 20 and you bet against App State? LOL. I just can't gamble on our games because I know so much about how we play that I could truly see us cover by 1-2 scores every week or fall way short of covering. lol
Because I had money on USA and the points. Did I think that we had a chance to lose? Not really. But to be honest, three + scores is a lot for a ball control offense and the weather. Covering point spreads and “style points” arguments are manufactured triggers for anxiety. No one that votes on this stuff looks at point spreads when ranking because quite frankly, they are numbers generated to create equal money on both sides to ensure profit.
And before anyone piles on, his bet was against the spread, not the Mountaineers. I hope this doesn't start another conversation about how useless spreads are. They're necessary for the gamblers amongst us (I'm not one, typically). And it is pretty amazing how accurate the odds makers can be a lot of the time.
Thanks. For the record, I don’t bet for App to lose.

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Re: ESPN Bowl Projections

Unread post by BambooRdApp » Wed Nov 17, 2021 4:23 pm

AppSt94 wrote:
Wed Nov 17, 2021 3:59 pm
goapps93 wrote:
Wed Nov 17, 2021 3:58 pm
AppSt94 wrote:
Wed Nov 17, 2021 3:44 pm
AppStFan1 wrote:
Wed Nov 17, 2021 3:36 pm
AppSt94 wrote:
Wed Nov 17, 2021 3:34 pm

Actually, I think I pi$$ed her off and they left before that play. I like her husband. Sadly, I was not pleased with the cover.
How could you not be happy that we covered? For our folks who care about ratings it is important we do cover. Margin of victory helps with perception. I know you did not doubt our team so much that you thought the game would be closer than 20 and you bet against App State? LOL. I just can't gamble on our games because I know so much about how we play that I could truly see us cover by 1-2 scores every week or fall way short of covering. lol
Because I had money on USA and the points. Did I think that we had a chance to lose? Not really. But to be honest, three + scores is a lot for a ball control offense and the weather. Covering point spreads and “style points” arguments are manufactured triggers for anxiety. No one that votes on this stuff looks at point spreads when ranking because quite frankly, they are numbers generated to create equal money on both sides to ensure profit.
And before anyone piles on, his bet was against the spread, not the Mountaineers. I hope this doesn't start another conversation about how useless spreads are. They're necessary for the gamblers amongst us (I'm not one, typically). And it is pretty amazing how accurate the odds makers can be a lot of the time.
Thanks. For the record, I don’t bet for App to lose.
Thanks Pete Rose... Just kidding
Today I Give My All For Appalachian State!!
#FreeMillerHillForMoMoney!!

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Re: ESPN Bowl Projections

Unread post by Black Saturday » Wed Nov 17, 2021 4:28 pm

It's fun to watch and follow the spreads, but it's best not too bet at all.
BLACK SATURDAY

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Re: ESPN Bowl Projections

Unread post by AppSt94 » Wed Nov 17, 2021 4:52 pm

Tbatchelor1977 wrote:
Wed Nov 17, 2021 4:23 pm
AppSt94 wrote:
Wed Nov 17, 2021 3:59 pm
goapps93 wrote:
Wed Nov 17, 2021 3:58 pm
AppSt94 wrote:
Wed Nov 17, 2021 3:44 pm
AppStFan1 wrote:
Wed Nov 17, 2021 3:36 pm


How could you not be happy that we covered? For our folks who care about ratings it is important we do cover. Margin of victory helps with perception. I know you did not doubt our team so much that you thought the game would be closer than 20 and you bet against App State? LOL. I just can't gamble on our games because I know so much about how we play that I could truly see us cover by 1-2 scores every week or fall way short of covering. lol
Because I had money on USA and the points. Did I think that we had a chance to lose? Not really. But to be honest, three + scores is a lot for a ball control offense and the weather. Covering point spreads and “style points” arguments are manufactured triggers for anxiety. No one that votes on this stuff looks at point spreads when ranking because quite frankly, they are numbers generated to create equal money on both sides to ensure profit.
And before anyone piles on, his bet was against the spread, not the Mountaineers. I hope this doesn't start another conversation about how useless spreads are. They're necessary for the gamblers amongst us (I'm not one, typically). And it is pretty amazing how accurate the odds makers can be a lot of the time.
Thanks. For the record, I don’t bet for App to lose.
Thanks Pete Rose... Just kidding
Free Pete!

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goapps93
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Re: ESPN Bowl Projections

Unread post by goapps93 » Wed Nov 17, 2021 5:57 pm

Black Saturday wrote:
Wed Nov 17, 2021 4:28 pm
It's fun to watch and follow the spreads, but it's best not too bet at all.
Probably a good idea not to drink alcohol at all either, especially before football games. :shock: :D
WE ARE YOSEF!

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Re: ESPN Bowl Projections

Unread post by AppStFan1 » Wed Nov 17, 2021 11:30 pm

AppSt94 wrote:
Wed Nov 17, 2021 3:44 pm
AppStFan1 wrote:
Wed Nov 17, 2021 3:36 pm
AppSt94 wrote:
Wed Nov 17, 2021 3:34 pm
proasu89 wrote:
Wed Nov 17, 2021 3:28 pm
AppSt94 wrote:
Wed Nov 17, 2021 1:33 pm


There was a lady sitting behind me Saturday that was pi$$ed that we weren’t beating South Alabama as bad as Vegas thought we would.
Hope she settled down and enjoyed her afternoon once we covered.
Actually, I think I pi$$ed her off and they left before that play. I like her husband. Sadly, I was not pleased with the cover.
How could you not be happy that we covered? For our folks who care about ratings it is important we win by impressive margins as it helps with perception. I know you did not doubt our team so much that you thought the game would be closer than 20 and you bet against App State? LOL. I just can't gamble on our games because I know so much about how we play that I could truly see us cover by 1-2 scores every week or fall way short of covering. lol
Because I had money on USA and the points. Did I think that we had a chance to lose? Not really. But to be honest, three + scores is a lot for a ball control offense and the weather. Covering point spreads and “style points” arguments are manufactured triggers for anxiety. No one that votes on this stuff looks at point spreads when ranking because quite frankly, they are numbers generated to create equal money on both sides to ensure profit.
Never bet on your own team. LOL

You are right about what the numbers are generated for but I will say that voters look at margin of victory. If you win by way more than expected the voters will bump you up even more. They don't care about the specific line maybe but they want to see gaudy scores for G5 teams for sure.

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Re: ESPN Bowl Projections

Unread post by AppStFan1 » Wed Nov 17, 2021 11:31 pm

Black Saturday wrote:
Wed Nov 17, 2021 4:28 pm
It's fun to watch and follow the spreads, but it's best not too bet at all.
I would never gamble on App games.

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Re: ESPN Bowl Projections

Unread post by mike87 » Thu Nov 18, 2021 8:33 am

goapps93 wrote:
Wed Nov 17, 2021 5:57 pm
Black Saturday wrote:
Wed Nov 17, 2021 4:28 pm
It's fun to watch and follow the spreads, but it's best not too bet at all.
Probably a good idea not to drink alcohol at all either, especially before football games. :shock: :D
Easy now ;)

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Re: ESPN Bowl Projections

Unread post by BambooRdApp » Thu Nov 18, 2021 8:59 am

I typically do not gamble unless personal bet with someone or office bet, fantasy, etc. This is primarily due to the fact that I do not follow the other teams in detail. As such, I am the typical description of Vegas viewing me as easy money. With that said, I have no issue with someone betting on any App. St. sport. It is their money so to speak.
Today I Give My All For Appalachian State!!
#FreeMillerHillForMoMoney!!

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Re: ESPN Bowl Projections

Unread post by Black Saturday » Thu Nov 18, 2021 9:08 am

mike87 wrote:
Thu Nov 18, 2021 8:33 am
goapps93 wrote:
Wed Nov 17, 2021 5:57 pm
Black Saturday wrote:
Wed Nov 17, 2021 4:28 pm
It's fun to watch and follow the spreads, but it's best not too bet at all.
Probably a good idea not to drink alcohol at all either, especially before football games. :shock: :D
Easy now ;)
yep, he's taken it too far :lol:
BLACK SATURDAY

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Re: ESPN Bowl Projections

Unread post by Rekdiver » Thu Nov 18, 2021 9:13 am

AppSt94 wrote:
Wed Nov 17, 2021 2:03 pm
appgrad2010 wrote:
Wed Nov 17, 2021 1:39 pm
AppSt94 wrote:
Wed Nov 17, 2021 1:33 pm
biggie wrote:
Wed Nov 17, 2021 1:29 pm
Black Saturday wrote:
Wed Nov 17, 2021 10:47 am
I saw one projection had us playing Liberty, who is favored by 4.5 over ULL this Saturday.
Makes no sense that losing to ULM translates to favorites vs ULL.
There was a lady sitting behind me Saturday that was pi$$ed that we weren’t beating South Alabama as bad as Vegas thought we would.
Was it a crazy blonde haired lady in her 50s? She is in 206 and a grade A clueless psycho!
Crazy blonde, yes. Different one though. This one is in the NEZ. And to be fair to her, she is a nice person and really gets into the game and is quite passionate. She yells at the refs like they care what she has to say. Her voice REALLY carries and she is a bit oblivious as to how disruptive she is to those around her trying to have conversations.
No one should be having conversations at a football game~!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

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Re: ESPN Bowl Projections

Unread post by AppSt94 » Thu Nov 18, 2021 9:14 am

Tbatchelor1977 wrote:
Thu Nov 18, 2021 8:59 am
I typically do not gamble unless personal bet with someone or office bet, fantasy, etc. This is primarily due to the fact that I do not follow the other teams in detail. As such, I am the typical description of Vegas viewing me as easy money. With that said, I have no issue with someone betting on any App. St. sport. It is their money so to speak.
To your point, I agree that you shouldn’t bet on teams that you don’t know about. Hence, the reason for investing short term on App, or SBC football. I mean, who is going to put money into something they know nothing about. For me, it’s a hobby thing. I figured out a long time ago that I got the biggest high from picking the right side, more than the money that I won. It’s a mental exercise for me to analyze the data and follow the statistical patterns more than anything. My gains and losses are very minimal. Im not going to get rich or die broke from it.

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Re: ESPN Bowl Projections

Unread post by AppSt94 » Thu Nov 18, 2021 9:22 am

Rekdiver wrote:
Thu Nov 18, 2021 9:13 am
AppSt94 wrote:
Wed Nov 17, 2021 2:03 pm
appgrad2010 wrote:
Wed Nov 17, 2021 1:39 pm
AppSt94 wrote:
Wed Nov 17, 2021 1:33 pm
biggie wrote:
Wed Nov 17, 2021 1:29 pm

Makes no sense that losing to ULM translates to favorites vs ULL.
There was a lady sitting behind me Saturday that was pi$$ed that we weren’t beating South Alabama as bad as Vegas thought we would.
Was it a crazy blonde haired lady in her 50s? She is in 206 and a grade A clueless psycho!
Crazy blonde, yes. Different one though. This one is in the NEZ. And to be fair to her, she is a nice person and really gets into the game and is quite passionate. She yells at the refs like they care what she has to say. Her voice REALLY carries and she is a bit oblivious as to how disruptive she is to those around her trying to have conversations.
No one should be having conversations at a football game~!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
The guys around me are pretty cool and we will have discussions about play designs and what we saw.

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